Nick Kyrgios’ stunning summer now takes him into the quarterfinals of the 2022 U.S. Open where he’s a massive favorite over World No. 31 Karen Khachanov.

Kyrgios is now 19-3 since the beginning of Wimbledon and has lost just two of 16 matches during the North American hard-court swing. He’s in the best form of his life.

Khachanov, too, seems to be peaking at the right time after outlasting Pablo Carreno Busta in a five-set classic on Sunday. The 26-year-old Russian won 73 percent of the points on his serve and faced only two break points in the entire match (and lost both), which is a considerable feat against an elite defender like Carreno Busta. 

With both players at the height of their powers and serving well, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see this match play out similarly to their last encounter at the 2020 Australian Open. Kyrgios won that match, but it lasted five sets and featured four tie-breakers.

We’re likely to see a few tie-breakers on Tuesday and it wouldn’t be a surprise if we get one right out of the gates as these two feel one another out in the opening set.

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And while Kyrgios hasn’t dropped an opening set yet in Flushing, there’s a decent chance we see a tie-breaker (which is essentially a coin flip) out of the gates, and that puts some value on Khachanov to grab an early lead at a big number.

The play: Karen Khachanov to win first set +225 (FanDuel)