#Reds vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cincinnati has the upper hand
“#Reds vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cincinnati has the upper hand”
July 30, 2020 | 1:00am | Updated July 29, 2020 | 11:07pm
Castillo is 15-8 with a 3.34 ERA since the beginning of the 2019 season and is allowing just one home run per nine innings. In his first start of 2020, he allowed one run in six innings in a game the Reds lost late to the Tigers.
Cubs starter Yu Darvish gave up three earned runs in four innings in a home loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. He fared better on the road than at home in 2019 with a 3.09 ERA compared to a 4.96 at home, though he did give up 1.35 home runs per nine innings away from Wrigley Field.
The Cubs had scored eight or more runs in three games in a row heading into Wednesday, but they needed those because they had a team bullpen ERA of 9.00, the worst in the MLB.
One of the Reds’ big offseason signings, Mike Moustakas, has returned from COVID protocol, and their other big acquisition, ex-Cub Nick Castellanos, took a .333 average into Wednesday.
With Cincinnati’s overall pitching also bolstered by another former Cub, Pedro Strop, coming out of the bullpen, the Reds should have the upper hand on the Cubs on Thursday.
The play: Reds, -130
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