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#Futures Movers: Oil edges higher as traders monitor Russia-Ukraine developments

“Futures Movers: Oil edges higher as traders monitor Russia-Ukraine developments”

Oil futures edged higher Friday after talks between Moscow and Kyiv made little progress, but prices were on track to register a loss of more than 4% for the week.

Price action
  • West Texas Intermediate crude for April delivery
    CL.1,
    +1.41%

    CL00,
    -0.14%

    CLJ22,
    +1.41%
    rose $1.62, or 1.6%, to $104.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, on track for a 4.3% weekly fall.

  • May Brent crude
    BRN00,
    +0.68%

    BRNK22,
    +0.68%,
    the global benchmark, was up $1.13, or 1.1%, at $107.77 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, headed for a 4.4% weekly decline.

  • April gasoline
    RBJ22,
    -0.23%
    fell 0.1% to $3.213 a gallon, trading 3% lower for the week, while April heating oil
    HOJ22,
    +1.95%
    added 2.1% to $3.559 a gallon, eying a 4% climb for the week.

  • April natural gas
    NGJ22,
    -1.74%
    traded at $4.917 per million British thermal units, down 1.5% for the session, but up 4.1% for the week.

Market drivers

Talks between Moscow and Kyiv stalled after signs of optimism earlier this week that fueled a reversal to the downside by crude futures, which had hit nearly 14-year highs last week.

Russian forces continued to press attacks on Ukraine cities.

The Kremlin on Friday said Russian President Vladimir Putin told German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, in a phone call, that Ukraine was stalling talks with “unrealistic proposals,” according to news reports. Meanwhile, world leaders are pushing for an investigation of Russia’s repeated attacks on civilian targets, including airstrikes on schools, hospitals and residential areas.

The U.S. and its allies have hit Russia with severe sanctions, with Washington also banning imports of Russian crude. Western sanctions have largely attempted to exempt Russian energy flows, but analysts and others have warned that Russian supply is likely to be sharply curtailed in the months ahead.

Read: Commodities offer traders a wild ride, but some are drawn to volatility like flies ‘to a light bulb’

Also see: Why Russia’s invasion of Ukraine lifted uranium prices to their highest in over a decade

“The news from Russia and Ukraine with respect to the peace talks no longer sounded nearly as optimistic as it did before, which has doubtless prompted the market to reassess the situation,” said Carsten Fritsch, commodity analyst at Commerzbank, in a note.

Wednesday‘s forecast from the International Energy Agency also had an impact, he said, warning that the market could end up missing 3 million barrels a day of crude and oil products from Russia beginning in April.

In a press release Friday, the IEA said there are measures that advanced economies can take to “achieve significant reductions in oil demand in a matter of months” to reduce the risk of a major supply crunch. It said its “10-Point Plan to Cut Oil Use” would lower oil demand by 2.7 million barrels a day within four months.

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