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#Kathy Hochul leads Democratic primary challengers by over 30 points

#Kathy Hochul leads Democratic primary challengers by over 30 points

ALBANY – Gov. Kathy Hochul’s lead in the Democratic primary for governor of New York has grown to over 30 points beyond her nearest challenger now that state Attorney General Letitia James has dropped out of the race, according to a new poll released Tuesday.

New York’s first female governor captured the support of 46 percent of Democratic voters when asked in a Siena College survey who they would vote for if the primary election – scheduled for June 2022 – was held today.

That places her 34 points ahead of second place challenger, former Mayor Bill de Blasio – who hasn’t even officially announced his candidacy. He netted 12 percent in response to the same question.

New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams received 11 percent, followed by Long Island Rep. Tom Suozzi, trailing with six percent. 

Another 22 percent of primary voters answered they either didn’t know or had no opinion, and two percent said they would rather support someone else. 

Hochul’s overall lead has soared past last month’s 36 percent she got from supporters in a similar Siena survey conducted Nov. 29 to Dec. 3, when voters were also asked who they would back if the primary was held that day.

In that poll, James received 18 percent of support from voters. But she dropped out of the race on Dec. 7, with Democratic party sources telling The Post she failed to hit fundraising goals in order to beat the ambitious Hochul.

New York Attorney General Letitia James polled second after Hochul, but dropped out of the race on December 7, 2021.
New York Attorney General Letitia James polled second after Hochul, but dropped out of the race on December 7, 2021.
REUTERS

“Hochul approaches support from nearly half of Democrats, 46 percent, up from 36 percent last month – before James, who had the support of 18 percent, exited the race,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg in a statement. He also noted James’ dropout proved a boon for de Blasio.

“De Blasio appears to have picked up some James supporters as well, now at 12 percent, up from six percent in December.”

Meanwhile, Hochul’s biggest support demographic comes from upstate, with 65 percent of primary voters backing her campaign. 

Former Mayor Bill de Blasio picked up some voters, increasing from 6 percent to 12 percent since December.
Former Mayor Bill de Blasio picked up some voters, increasing from 6 percent to 12 percent since December.
Erik Pendzich/Shutterstock

Not one challenger – de Blasio, Williams or Suozzi – broke double digits in upstate.

De Blasio, however, did score the biggest support from Black voters of the group – 36 percent compared to Hochul’s 26 percent, followed by 19 percent for Williams and four percent for Suozzi.

The governor’s favorability among all voters stands at 45 percent compared to 29 percent of voters who have an unfavorable opinion of her and 25 percent who said they either don’t know or have no opinion. 

It’s even higher among Democrats – 60 percent view her favorably, compared to 19 percent who said they have an unfavorable opinion of her.

More Democrats said they have an unfavorable view of de Blasio than favorable – by a 45 to 42 percent margin. 

A large number of voters said they did not know or have an opinion about New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.
A large number of voters said they did not know or have an opinion about New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.
REUTERS

But for Williams, 49 percent of Democratic voters responded that they either don’t know him or have no opinion. 

Suozzi stacked up even worse – with 56 percent of Democrats saying they don’t know him or have no opinion of him. 

“James is out of the race. Williams and Suozzi are unknown to half of Democrats. A potential opponent, de Blasio, is viewed unfavorably by more Democrats than view him favorably. With 22 weeks until the primary, it appears Hochul is in the catbird seat to be the Democratic nominee for governor,” said Greenberg. 

Rep. Tom Suozzi trailed in recent polls with only 6 percent of responders saying he had their vote.
Rep. Tom Suozzi trailed in recent polls with only 6 percent of responders saying he had their vote.
Sipa USA via AP

The poll also asked voters what they think of new New York City Mayor Eric Adams – who gained a 41 percent favorability rating compared to 19 percent who said they viewed him unfavorably. 

However, 40 percent of respondents said they either didn’t know or had no opinion of him. 

More Republican voters said they viewed him favorably – 29 percent – compared to those who viewed him unfavorably, at 20 percent. 

The Siena Poll queried 806 registered voters from Jan. 9 through Jan. 13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points. But within the poll, there were 417 Democrats who were asked about the party’s primary for governor,  with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.4 percentage points.

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